Thursday, June 9, 2011

Current Disaster Information

The Missouri River near Williston is projected to reach record flood levels by the 11th.The Milk River near Glasgow is above record stage. The Souris River near Towner is above record stage. The Souris River near Westhope is above record stage. The North Platte River at North Platte is near record stage. The Missouri River near Williston is above record stage. The Missouri River near Greenwood, the Souris River near Bantry, Missouri River near Verdel are all over the record levels Federal Aid Programs For State Of Illinois Disaster Recovery Federal Aid Programs For State Of Oklahoma Disaster Recovery This is big news for those affected by the disaster. If you know anyone affected by the disaster, those are served first who first request assistance. Those in the counties designated for assistance to affected residents and business owners can begin the disaster application process by registering online at www.DisasterAssistance.gov or by calling 1-800-621-FEMA (3362) or 1-800-462-7585 (TTY) for the hearing and speech impaired. The toll-free telephone numbers are available from 7 a.m. to 10 p.m. EDT. This is big news for those affected by the disaster. Those in the counties designated for assistance to affected residents and business owners can begin the disaster application process by registering online at www.DisasterAssistance.gov or by calling 1-800-621-FEMA (3362) or 1-800-462-7585 (TTY) for the hearing and speech impaired. The toll-free telephone numbers are available from 7 a.m. to 10 p.m. EDT. --
NASA -- Tornado Track near Sturbridge, Massachusetts
Lake Champlain at Burlington has fallen below the old record height and is projected to fall below major flood stage by Wednesday of next week.
There is a low over the west-central Caribbean Sea that is stationary and has a 10% chance of becoming a tropical storm in the next 48 hrs. The long range forecast does not show it making US landfall.
NASA--Unique Space Image of Alabama Tornado Tracks
Individual Assistance has been approved. Federal Aid Programs For State Of Missouri Disaster Recovery. Federal Aid Programs For State Of Tennessee Disaster Recovery. Federal Aid Programs For State Of Mississippi Disaster Recovery Federal Aid Programs For State Of Georgia Disaster Recovery President Declares Emergency For Alabama for the Storm of April 27th. Arkansas Severe Storms, Tornadoes, And Associated Flooding. Federal Aid Programs For State Of Mississippi Disaster Recovery
"NASA Satellite Images -- Tornado Tracks in Tuscaloosa, Alabama Severe Tornado Outbreak in the Southern United States -- Alabama EMA -- Georgia EMA -- Mississippi EMA -- Tennessee EMA -- Arkansas EMA -- Virginia EMA --
The Red Cross Red Cross Shelters You can text REDCROSS to 90999 to make a $10 donation or call 1-800 RED CROSS
The Salvation Army is also assisting with damage. There are several ways you can donate. By phone: Call 1-800-SAL-ARMY and designate “April 2011 Tornado Outbreak.” By text: Text “GIVE” to 80888.
Insurance will cover most of the losses. The people affected will not lack clothing for long and more will be donated than will ever be used. It will end up in the local landfill, because there is no place to store it. If you are going to collect clothing have a garage sale with the proceeds going to the victims. Be responsible, if you collect money get proof that it was donated and make evidence available to those who gave. Consider volunteering or donating with Disaster Relief Agencies and Nongovernment Organizations.
WHO's CRED is reporting that in 2010 a total of 385 natural disasters killed more than 297,000 people worldwide, affected over 217.0 million others and caused US$ 123.9 billion of economic damages. Annual Disaster Statistical Review 2010: (PDF 4.2 MB) The Numbers and Trends. Brussels: CRED; 2011-Guha-Sapir D, Vos F, Below R, with Ponserre S.
Extreme and exceptional drought conditions cover about half of Texas.
There is only one weather authority in the United States, and that's the National Weather Service For emergency information consult with your local NWS office or your local emergency management agency. If you want to suggest a link please post to host@disastercenter.com

Geomagnetic Storm Warning Downgraded

NOAA forecasters have downgraded the chances of a geomagnetic storm on June 9th to 20%. The disturbance, if it occurs, would be in response to a glancing blow from the CME of June 7th.
On June 7th at 0641 UT, magnetic fields above sunspot complex 1226-1227 became unstable and erupted. The resulting blast produced an M2-class solar flare, an S1-class radiation storm, and an unbelievable movie:

"It looks like someone kicked a clod of dirt in the air," says solar physicist C. Alex Young of NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in a Youtube video. "I've never seen material released in this way before--an amazing, amazing event."

Much of the plasma thrown up by the blast simply fell back to the sun--indeed, that's what makes the footage so dramatic. In the movies you can see blobs of hot gas as large as Earth making bright splashes where they hit the stellar surface. Some plasma, however, reached escape velocity and left the sun in the form of a coronal mass ejection: movie. Traveling faster than 1100 km/s, the CME should deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on June 9th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras when the CME arrives.

Credit: NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory.

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HOW TO READ PROPAGATION NUMBERS

The A index [ LOW is GOOD ]

  • 1 to 6 is BEST
  • 7 to 9 is OK
  • 11 or more is BAD

Represents the overall geomagnetic condition of the ionosphere ("Ap" if averaged from the Kp-Index) (an average of the eight 3-hour K-Indices) ('A' referring to amplitude) over a given 24 hour period, ranging (linearly) typically from 1-100 but theoretically up to 400.

A lower A-Index generally suggests better propagation on the 10, 12, 15, 17, & 20 Meter Bands; a low & steady Ap-Index generally suggest good propagation on the 30, 40, 60, 80, & 160 Meter Bands.

SFI index [ HIGH is GOOD ]

  • 70 NOT GOOD
  • 80 GOOD
  • 90 BETTER
  • 100+ BEST

The measure of total radio emissions from the sun at 10.7cm (2800 MHz), on a scale of 60 (no sunspots) to 300, generally corresponding to the sunspot level, but being too low in energy to cause ionization, not related to the ionization level of the Ionosphere.

Higher Solar Flux generally suggests better propagation on the 10, 12, 15, 17, & 20 Meter Bands; Solar Flux rarely affects the 30, 40, 60, 80, & 160 Meter Bands.

K index [ LOW is GOOD ]

  • 0 or 1 is BEST
  • 2 is OK
  • 3 or more is BAD
  • 5 is VERY VERY BAD

The overall geomagnetic condition of the ionosphere ("Kp" if averaged over the planet) over the past 3 hours, measured by 13 magnetometers between 46 & 63 degrees of latitude, and ranging quasi-logarithmically from 0-9. Designed to detect solar particle radiation by its magnetic effect. A higher K-index generally means worse HF conditions.

A lower K-Index generally suggests better propagation on the 10, 12, 15, 17, & 20 Meter Bands; a low & steady Kp-Index generally suggest good propagation on the 30, 40, 60, 80, & 160 Meter Bands.

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